If you can predict political outcomes, you can win real money managing a free portfolio of binary futures tied to real political events. The better your predictions, the better your chance at winning.
- The March contest is underway. Sign up now for your chance to win.
- Check out exclusive trading strategies from previous winners and a recap of market activity.
- Want to feature real-time prices and predictions from this market on your own site? Grab an embeddable scrolling ticker or the RSS feed.
How does it work?
Each of our futures contracts is tied to a real world political outcome. Our current product slate and latest prices/predictions are detailed below:
Embed this real-time chart
Each binary (yes/no) contract has a payout value of $100 (if the outcome occurs) and trades somewhere between $0 and $100 until expiration. A price of $50 suggests a 50% chance the outcome will occur. If you think that’s too low, you can buy it. If you think it’s too high, you can “short” it, effectively betting “no” at $100 minus the price. Non-binaries also trade between $0 and $100, in relation to their respective underlying indices or metrics, as described in each contract’s rules.
This market is a play-money version of our planned real-money regulated exchange trading, which is intended to enable investors and companies to hedge their real world financial exposure to the underlying outcomes. Launch of regulated exchange trading is pending certain regulatory approvals and will not include electoral outcomes.
You can get a jump on your monthly gain by inviting friends to participate. For each friend who registers for the contest, we’ll credit $1,000 in bonus trading funds to your account, up to $10,000.
It’s fake money, but it counts toward your monthly performance and that can win you real money!
Some More Details
Once your register, your portfolio balance will be set to $100,000. Each monthly contest’s prizes will be awarded for the percentage gain achieved during that month (so if your balance tanks, it won’t count against you in following months).
You’ll want to take a little time to familiarize yourself with the trading platform, including market and limit orders, automated agent-based trading, the interactive order book, charting and discussion forums, and other bells and whistles. We have a series of step-by-step guides published on the platform to walk you through any features that may be unfamiliar.
You may only register one account and one portfolio. Attempts to register more than once will lead to permanent disqualification. Please read the official Contest Rules for more details and eligibility requirements.
NO PURCHASE NECESSARY. Participation in the ACE Policy Futures Trading Contest is subject to certain restrictions on eligibility and other terms and conditions. Complete ACE Policy Futures Trading Contest rules and eligibility requirements can be found at http://amciv.com/rules or you may request a copy of the rules by writing to American Civics Exchange, Attn: Contest Administration, 245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor, New York, NY 10167. The ACE Policy Futures Trading Contest is VOID WHERE PROHIBITED. All federal, state and local laws apply. Odds of winning depend on the number of qualified entries received.